MANIFOLD
Who will win Masters Season 35?
13
Ṁ3kṀ9.7k
Apr 2
29%
Jack
17%
Mochi
10%
Xi Jinping
5%
Brad
4%
Simon
4%
Chad
3%
Travis
3%
Panfilo
2%
It's Me
1.7%
jackson polack
1.6%
Christopher Randles
1.5%
Cory
1.5%
walmart
1.5%
Ben S
1.3%
prismatic
1.2%
Jesse
1.2%
OnTheMark
1.1%
Ten Shino
1.1%
JGY
1.1%
Ziddletwix

Resolves to the winner of Masters league season 35.

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opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 20% order

order up for a day

boughtṀ500 NO

@prismatic hahahaha sorry i think your profit curve is too smooth! most winners take wild risks. you will probs stay in just not win

@brod I thought the same, but they are already up 13k in 3 days, and doing it smoothly. That's on track to do it their usual way and, since it's clear that now they're even more motivated, I think they also might be open to the possibility of doing a coinflip near the end.

@adonisds there is a minor problem with this strategy

@Mochi LOL! These corrections keep haunting me.

This time I didn't know it was unranked, but I used "coin flip" as a metonymy to mean any market with similar luck characteristics that can resolve quickly.

@adonisds lol I kind of want to chill for this season though it would be cool to speed run Manifold

@prismatic If you manage to go from bronze to winning Masters in the least ammount of time possible, that would be legendary

@adonisds it’s extremely difficult to win masters without either capital or time. It’s better now with high leverage but you still see many top traders running out of balance for extra profits. And unless you are a conviction based trader betting large on certain short term markets, the best way to win is to spend tons of time hunting down every market and squeeze alpha other people are missing out on. The more markets you trade the more positions you need to monitor, especially if you are copying Polymarket odds. Eventually you realize that you ve been trading your sanity this whole time.

For others clarity, it's a Manifold Markets internal rating, not a Golf or Tennis thing.

How to win Masters, step by step:
1 - Have no chance of winning Masters because your net worth is 20k
2- Make a limit order betting everything on yourself at 2% in a ranked "Who will win Masters" question
3- People realize your shares will be worth a million if you actually win.

@adonisds there is minor problem with this scheme

@brod I was wondering if that was why you made it unranked

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