Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
5
Ṁ250Ṁ1102030
14%
Google/Alphabet
21%
IBM
7%
Microsoft
7%
Amazon
7%
Intel
7%
Rigetti
8%
IonQ
8%
Alibaba
7%
Baidu
15%
Other
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029. A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1. Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2. First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3. Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted. The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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