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Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of March?
374
Ṁ333Ṁ58k
Mar 31
32%
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9

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@Qoiuoiuoiu If the pilot of the Kuwaiti F/A-18 that shot down the planes (U.S. F-15Es) happened to be found as an Iranian intelligence asset (sabatour, spy, sleeper agent, etc) would that count?

Do unmanned planes count?

CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper Iran's ballistic missile attacks have PLUMMETED -90% and drones are down 83% since day 1

is this guy a bot or something? who talks like this

@brianwang please link sources

@Balasar trump talks like that

30 iranian ships sunk, several of the mini sub sunk. The surface fleet other than some speedboats and several subs. https://x.com/nicksortor/status/2029685495416975550?s=20

Basra rumor quickly denied with no supporting evidence emerging. No claims have come with official admission or geolocated wreckage.

bought Ṁ500 YES

Looks like it was indeed Iran that shot it down, just across the border into Iraq!
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2029660697697657210?s=20

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 74% order

@bens looks like US officials are continuing to deny these rumors, but I'm not sure these denials are correct, at this point.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2029670222349717937?s=20

@bens A US official has denied this report: https://x.com/lookner/status/2029667922247873019

That footage may not be related: https://x.com/faytuks/status/2029658805617783172

I believe it would have had to occur at least ~8 hours ago if it is legitimate.

@bens Although apparently CENTCOM deleted an earlier post denying a crash, and now they are denying that a plane was shot down.

@FergusArgyll assuming @Qoiuoiuoiu that Iranian proxy militias in Iraq would still count, yes?

Iran's surface-to-air missile (SAM) stocks are likely fully depleted or destroyed. Threats to US aircraft would be limited to man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS), anti-aircraft guns, or improvised weapons like RPGs. These would only be viable against low-altitude targets during takeoff, landing, or ground operations within Iranian territory. US operations emphasize standoff strikes and high-altitude bombing to avoid such risks. Close air support for Kurdish forces would be drone-heavy operations to minimize exposure or standoff missiles. Don't fly below 30,000 feet and no worries. Almost no risk above 15000 feet.

@bens gg

@bens was the tweet deleted? Doesn't load for me.

@MattP I think centcom denied it

@bens oops I guess

This market seems pretty mispriced, I'll be real.

What makes u say that

@bens You have 500k mana just itching to correct that

@Cactus 1) OSINT murmurs

2) umm, this is the largest conflict the US has fought in ages and shit happens over the course of a 6 week bombing campaign and the Iranians aren’t entirely incompetent (although close)

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