
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
57
Ṁ1kṀ10k2029
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
60% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
18% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
68% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
73% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
68% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
45% chance
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
40% chance
Sort by:
[edited]
when the model quality bridges a certain threshold research into video generation will be accelerated. Potential threshold to led to further funding: https://openai.com/sora
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
60% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
18% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
68% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
73% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
68% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
45% chance
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
40% chance